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Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz before May 2026?
activeIf Iran has effectively closed Strait of Hormuz to cargo and tanker ships after Issuance and before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Yes: Before May
No: Before May
Largest Recent Trade
$8.8KNo @ 88¢10.0K contracts2:53 PM ET
Last Price
12¢-60.0%
Bid / Ask
12 / 13
Spread: 1¢
Volume (24h)
612.4K
All-time: 832.2K
Open Interest
329.5K
Order Book
Yes Bids
12¢4466
11¢26692
10¢5373
9¢1512
8¢20000
4¢584
3¢400
2¢3781
1¢102150
No Bids
87¢11286
86¢2270
85¢331
82¢500
81¢4571
80¢3000
79¢625
77¢100
76¢19
75¢10100
Recent Trades
| Time | Side | Price | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 07:54 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 2 |
| Mar 3, 07:54 PM | YES | 1300¢ | 1812 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | YES | 1200¢ | 2500 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | YES | 1200¢ | 3106 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 111 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 10000 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 58 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 389 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 58 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 4152 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 400 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 16 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | YES | 1300¢ | 143 |
| Mar 3, 07:53 PM | YES | 1300¢ | 7 |
| Mar 3, 07:52 PM | YES | 1300¢ | 1000 |
| Mar 3, 07:52 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 40 |
| Mar 3, 07:52 PM | NO | 1200¢ | 35 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 333 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 225 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 222 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 17 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 68 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 108 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | YES | 1400¢ | 65 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 20 |
| Mar 3, 07:51 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 108 |
| Mar 3, 07:50 PM | YES | 1400¢ | 33 |
| Mar 3, 07:50 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 832 |
| Mar 3, 07:50 PM | NO | 1300¢ | 2747 |
| Mar 3, 07:49 PM | NO | 1400¢ | 500 |
Market Info
- Event
- KXCLOSEHORMUZ-27JAN
- Type
- binary
- Closes
- 5/1/2026, 3:59:00 AM
- Created
- 3/1/2026, 5:40:43 AM