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Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz before May 2026?

active
Trade on Kalshi

If Iran has effectively closed Strait of Hormuz to cargo and tanker ships after Issuance and before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Yes: Before May
No: Before May
Largest Recent Trade
$8.8KNo @ 88¢10.0K contracts2:53 PM ET
Last Price
12¢-60.0%
Bid / Ask
12 / 13

Spread: 1¢

Volume (24h)
612.4K

All-time: 832.2K

Open Interest
329.5K
Order Book

Yes Bids

12¢4466
11¢26692
10¢5373
9¢1512
8¢20000
4¢584
3¢400
2¢3781
1¢102150

No Bids

87¢11286
86¢2270
85¢331
82¢500
81¢4571
80¢3000
79¢625
77¢100
76¢19
75¢10100
Recent Trades
TimeSidePriceContracts
Mar 3, 07:54 PMNO1200¢2
Mar 3, 07:54 PMYES1300¢1812
Mar 3, 07:53 PMYES1200¢2500
Mar 3, 07:53 PMYES1200¢3106
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢111
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢10000
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢58
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢389
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢58
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢4152
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢400
Mar 3, 07:53 PMNO1200¢16
Mar 3, 07:53 PMYES1300¢143
Mar 3, 07:53 PMYES1300¢7
Mar 3, 07:52 PMYES1300¢1000
Mar 3, 07:52 PMNO1200¢40
Mar 3, 07:52 PMNO1200¢35
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢333
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢225
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢222
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢17
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢68
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢108
Mar 3, 07:51 PMYES1400¢65
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢20
Mar 3, 07:51 PMNO1300¢108
Mar 3, 07:50 PMYES1400¢33
Mar 3, 07:50 PMNO1300¢832
Mar 3, 07:50 PMNO1300¢2747
Mar 3, 07:49 PMNO1400¢500
Market Info
Event
KXCLOSEHORMUZ-27JAN
Type
binary
Closes
5/1/2026, 3:59:00 AM
Created
3/1/2026, 5:40:43 AM